American Airlines Group Stock Performance
| AAL Stock | USD 15.24 1.08 7.63% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, American Airlines holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.88, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Airlines will likely underperform. Please check American Airlines' treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether American Airlines' price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Airlines Group are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating basic indicators, American Airlines disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 7.63 | Five Day Return 12.89 | Year To Date Return (1.55) | Ten Year Return (57.13) | All Time Return (21.04) |
Last Split Factor 0:1 | Dividend Date 2020-02-19 | Ex Dividend Date 2020-02-04 | Last Split Date 2013-12-09 |
1 | Trump says airlines can fly to Venezuela again and American wants to be the first to return | 01/30/2026 |
2 | Hollywood airport favored by celebrities could be site of next plane disaster officials | 02/02/2026 |
3 | RenaissanceRe Reports 2.6 Billion of Annual Net Income Available to Common Shareholders and 1.9 Billion of Operating Income Available to Common Shareholders in ... | 02/03/2026 |
4 | Airbus Toxic Fume Lawsuits Put Cabin Air Safety And Costs In Focus | 02/04/2026 |
5 | Disruptive customer forces American Airlines flight to turn around | 02/05/2026 |
6 | Austin airport saw its 3rd-busiest year on record in 2025 | 02/06/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.6 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.9 B |
American Airlines Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,331 in American Airlines Group on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 193.00 from holding American Airlines Group or generate 14.5% return on investment over 90 days. American Airlines Group is generating 0.2511% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.5709% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than American, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
American Airlines Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.24 | 90 days | 15.24 | about 24.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Airlines to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.5 (This American Airlines Group probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
American Airlines Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Airlines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Airlines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Airlines Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Airlines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Airlines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Airlines Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Airlines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
American Airlines Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Airlines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Airlines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Airlines Group has 35.97 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.53, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. American Airlines has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for American to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| American Airlines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 69.0% of American Airlines shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Austin airport saw its 3rd-busiest year on record in 2025 |
American Airlines Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Airlines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Airlines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 661.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.6 B |
American Airlines Fundamentals Growth
American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Airlines, and American Airlines fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | 0.0165 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 41.11 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 660.3 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 7.08 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.18 X | ||||
| Revenue | 54.63 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 12.69 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 3.88 B | ||||
| Net Income | 846 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 11.23 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 17.28 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 35.97 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 7.53 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.79 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (5.64) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.1 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.17 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 10.06 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 61.77 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (6.73 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | (11.14 B) | ||||
| Current Asset | 9.98 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 13.61 B | ||||
About American Airlines Performance
By examining American Airlines' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into American Airlines' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that American Airlines is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 26.06 | 22.11 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | (0.03) | (0.03) |
Things to note about American Airlines performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Airlines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Airlines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Airlines Group has 35.97 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.53, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. American Airlines has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for American to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| American Airlines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 69.0% of American Airlines shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Austin airport saw its 3rd-busiest year on record in 2025 |
- Analyzing American Airlines' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Airlines' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining American Airlines' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating American Airlines' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Airlines' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Airlines' stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Airlines' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Airlines Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Airlines. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive American Airlines assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | Earnings Share 0.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.025 | Return On Assets |
The market value of American Airlines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Airlines' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Airlines represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, American Airlines' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.